Classical Political Economy and Secular Stagnation
نویسندگان
چکیده
This paper presents a model of secular stagnation, income and wealth distribution, employment in the Classical Political Economy tradition, that can be contrasted with accounts by Piketty (2014) Gordon (2015). In these explanations, an exogenous reduction growth rate g --because declining fertility or exhaustion path-breaking scientific discoveries--increases difference return to capital r. The capital-income ratio rises, if elasticity substitution is above one, wage share falls. Both assume full at all times. our explanation, which does not presuppose employment, key tension between profit-driven accumulation wage-driven labor-augmenting technical change: both are defining for Economy, have been emphasized recent heterodox macro literature. Labor-crushing institutional technological shocks initially foster -which profit-driven-- increase inequality. However, effect on long-run negative, because reduced incentives firms introduce labor-saving innovation, wage-driven. capital/income must rise order restore balanced long run; inequality permanent. ultimate depends strength response change vs. real labor market institutions: accordingly, either wage-led profit-led. We then test using time-series data US (1990-2019): offers support main predictions model, employment-population being wage-led.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Social Science Research Network
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['1556-5068']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3941312